

About this study
The UK began experiencing a deep economic recession in 2008. To
reduce its impact on society, policy makers were interested in
identifying those who may experience complex and enduring problems
during these difficult economic times.
The Social Exclusion Task Force asked NatCen to use secondary
analysis research to explore the extent to which people who lose
their job and people who feel insecure in their job go on to
experience other social disadvantages.
A number of key findings emerged from the analysis, notably that
the incidence of job loss and job insecurity appeared lower than in
the previous recession. However, both job loss and job insecurity
were associated with an increased risk of depression and financial
stress.
The evidence illustrates the importance of high levels of social
support, good mental health, financial savings and qualifications
in protecting people against the negative impacts of difficult
economic times. You can read the
findings here or
download the full report (PDF).
Potential policy impact
We highlighted the social disadvantages that individuals and
families can experience as a result of unemployment or job
insecurity. So it is imperative that policy aims to prevent and
reduce social disadvantage, in addition to containing the purely
economic problems that can arise during an economic downturn.
NatCen's research fed into a SETF policy report focused on
preventing the recession from triggering long-term social
exclusion. This was targeted at individuals on the cusp of
developing complex and enduring problems. The
Social Exclusion and the Economic Downturn study was published
in December 2009 by the Social Exclusion Task Force.
Method
This research used data from the British Household Panel Survey
(BHPS), a study uniquely positioned to investigate the economic and
social issues from the early 1990s to the present day. Because the
BHPS re-interviews the same people at annual intervals, it can be
used to track people's outcomes over the longer as well as the
shorter term.
To compare the previous and current recessions we focused on data
from 1991 and 2008. We also looked at data from 2001 to allow
comparison with a year in better economic times.
We identified two groups of employees who experienced employment
difficulties:
We explored whether these people went on to experience a range of social disadvantages, including:
We also looked at which groups were more at risk of negative social outcomes as a consequence of the recession. These included:
You can:
Of interest:
The global financial crisis of 2008 and the recession that followed have had far reaching impacts.